Our Services · Financial Risk Management

Financial risk management that connects to the business decision

Scenario analysis, liquidity, working capital, VaR, CFaR, credit rating advisory and treasury transfer pricing — for corporates and financial institutions, delivered by people who have run the numbers in the boardroom, not just in the back office.

Hedge Optimisation

The efficient frontier of risk and cost

Every possible hedge portfolio sits somewhere on a trade-off between Cash Flow at Risk and Earnings at Risk. Most corporates are hedging above the frontier — paying more earnings volatility than they need to for the CFaR they are achieving.

The power is not the number. It is being able to show the board where today's hedge sits, where the optimal portfolio sits, and what combination of instruments moves you there. Decisions that were once opinion become quantified.

Earnings at Risk (millions)
0%100%
Current
hedge
Optimal
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Cash Flow at Risk (millions)
Current hedge Random hedge scenarios Efficient frontier Optimal hedge

Included under FRM

Hedge accounting, handled end-to-end

Hedge accounting is inseparable from the risk itself. We deliver designation, effectiveness testing, valuation, journals and disclosure alongside the FRM engagement — under IFRS 9, IAS 39 and ASC 815, aligned to the risk management objective the business actually runs.

Full hedge accounting capability

What's covered

  • Hedge documentation, risk management objective and strategy
  • Prospective and retrospective effectiveness testing
  • Component hedging, layer approach and macro hedging
  • Transition to Risk Management Accounting (RMA)
  • Independent valuations, CVA / DVA and XVA
  • Audit-ready journals and board / IR disclosure

Capabilities

The full risk and finance lifecycle

Quantitative risk, working capital, credit rating advisory and intercompany transfer pricing — under one practitioner- led roof. Methodology that is auditable, explainable and tied to the underlying business model.

Scenario fan · how risk quantification actually lands
+2σ upside+1σBase−1σ stress−2σ severeReverse-stress floor · board-intolerableP&L / cashflowTodayHorizon
Scenario analysis works forward from assumptions; reverse stress works backward from an intolerable outcome. We deliver both, sized to the risk appetite the board has actually signed off on.

Quantitative risk & valuations

Numerical methodology that holds up under stress and audit.

  • Scenario analysis & reverse stress testing across FX, rates, commodities and credit
  • VaR (parametric, historical, Monte Carlo) with daily P&L attribution and backtesting
  • Cash Flow at Risk (CFaR) — EBITDA distribution, hedge optimisation, level-of-cover policy
  • Independent valuations & XVA (CVA, DVA, FVA) under ASC 820 / IFRS 13, powered by UnRisk

Liquidity & working capital

Funding flexibility sourced from the balance sheet first.

  • Liquidity frameworks — funding gap analysis, contingency funding, intraday
  • LCR / NSFR for regulated entities; stress liquidity for the rest
  • Working capital optimisation — CCC, dynamic discounting, supply chain finance

Capital structure & credit rating

Financing decisions the board and the rating agencies can defend.

  • Rating agency strategy across S&P, Moody's and Fitch methodology
  • Pro-forma rating impact of M&A, dividend and capital structure decisions
  • Rating defence narrative for the next surveillance review

Cross-border flows & tax

Intercompany flows that survive a tax authority challenge.

  • Transfer pricing for IC loans, cash pools, guarantees and hedge recharges
  • OECD Chapter X alignment and BEPS-compliant documentation
  • Comparability analysis and credit-rating-derived interest rates

Who we work with

Corporates and banks — same discipline, different lens

Corporates

From treasury risk to enterprise risk

We connect treasury risk metrics — VaR, CFaR, liquidity and funding gaps — to the business decisions that move them. Capex timing, M&A funding, dividend policy, credit rating headroom. Risk numbers that the CFO and the board can actually act on.

  • Integrated CFaR across commodities, FX and rates
  • Working capital and supply chain finance design
  • Liquidity stress testing and contingency funding plans
  • Credit rating defence and pro-forma analysis
  • Hedge policy design and level-of-cover frameworks
Banks & Financial Institutions

Trading book, banking book, audit-ready

Risk frameworks that hold up under regulatory scrutiny and exec challenge. We work the trading book, the banking book and the increasingly important asset-liability profile of digital asset balances. Methodology that explains itself, not just numbers in a spreadsheet.

  • VaR, expected shortfall and FRTB-aligned methodology
  • ALM and IRRBB (EVE / NII) under EBA / Basel guidance
  • LCR and NSFR liquidity coverage and stress testing
  • XVA framework design and validation
  • Independent model validation and model risk governance

Working Capital

The cheapest funding the business has

Working capital is treasury's largest unsecured funding line, and the one most often left on the table. We design the cash conversion cycle improvements that move the dial without breaking commercial relationships.

Receivables financing and dynamic discounting on the asset side. Supply chain finance and payable term extensions on the liability side. Inventory and payment-term policy in the middle. Every lever modelled against the cost of alternative funding so the trade-off is explicit.

Cash Conversion Cycle
DIOInventory days+DSOReceivables daysDPOPayables days=CCC · days to fundInventory policyAR financing · dynamic discountSupply chain finance
Each lever has a different cost profile. We model them against the marginal cost of external funding so the trade-off is explicit.

Treasury Transfer Pricing

Intercompany flows that survive a challenge

Intercompany loans, cash pool interest, guarantee fees and hedge recharges all sit at the intersection of treasury and tax. OECD Chapter X put treasury squarely on the transfer pricing map, and tax authorities are now asking specific questions about each.

We design the methodology, build the comparability analysis, and produce the documentation that holds up under audit — covering credit-rating-derived interest rates, implicit support adjustments, cash pool benefit allocation and the BEPS Action 4 interest deductibility tests.

Intercompany treasury flows · OECD Chapter X
GroupTreasurySub ASub BSub CSub DCash sweepGuarantee feeIC loan · interestHedge rechargePriced at arm’s length · documented
Each flow is a separate transfer pricing case. Credit- rating-derived rates, implicit support adjustments and BEPS Action 4 deductibility all get explicit methodology.

Start a conversation

Ready to put your treasury to work?

Book a 30-minute diagnostic call. We'll tell you within the hour whether we can help, and where the biggest wins likely sit.

Or email us directly at [email protected]